Adarsh Sharma, supervisor of customer relations for Fly High airlines at Delhi Airport, is studying the problem of customer inconvenience due to flight delays. He is concentrating on three late-night flights out of Indira Gandhi International (IGI) Airport in New Delhi, In the last year, 7, 8, and 5 percent of the London, New York, and Singapore flights, respectively have been delayed. Further, 55, 20, and 25 percent of the late-night Fly High at IGI are for London, New York, and destinations, respectively. What is the probability that a delayed flight was scheduled for (a) London, (b) New York, and (c) Singapore?
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1 Answer

Let's suppose that 10000 late-night flights from IGI airport were investigated. So there were 5500 London, 2000 New York and 2500 Singapore flights, 

Of the 5500 to London, 7% are delayed=385 flights.

Of the 2000 to New York, 8% are delayed=160 flights.

Of the 2500 to Singapore, 5% are delayed=125 flights.

In all, 670 flights were delayed (out of 10000 flights---6.7%). So, given that a flight was delayed, the following probabilities can be calculated (approximate percentages):

(a) 385/670=57.46% (London)

(b) 160/670=23.88% (New York)

(c) 125/670=18.66% (Singapore)

by Top Rated User (1.1m points)

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